Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 44.596588 51.280002 58.239733 65.996568 74.369348 83.105445 92.880433
2024-10-13 35.268545 44.743986 55.181462 67.399787 81.183584 96.134815 113.462357
2024-10-20 28.642730 39.355460 51.688242 66.661760 84.090176 103.499649 126.517365
2024-10-27 23.101098 34.345694 47.851269 64.806593 85.093631 108.201214 136.133615
2024-11-03 20.910430 33.061339 48.133565 67.524320 91.183259 118.554033 152.070610
2024-11-10 18.694695 31.432858 47.739388 69.209235 95.881330 127.174937 165.938716
2024-11-17 15.781180 28.517316 45.419823 68.251034 97.170563 131.608779 174.781482
2024-11-24 13.308258 25.908639 43.249022 67.260718 98.239255 135.640947 183.043975
2024-12-01 11.579246 24.166958 42.071588 67.412162 100.624772 141.192313 193.077546
2024-12-08 10.100693 22.621620 41.022217 67.615165 102.987938 146.659412 202.979509
2024-12-15 8.941335 21.437412 40.375220 68.273025 105.875991 152.742349 213.622228
2024-12-22 7.537720 19.658202 38.718156 67.427638 106.712926 156.199420 221.002823
2024-12-29 6.754147 18.877363 38.513937 68.607304 110.261966 163.153827 232.832936
2025-01-05 6.087159 18.221913 38.447532 69.951959 114.026280 170.401555 245.075334
2025-01-12 5.079687 16.755189 36.994225 69.209447 114.909080 173.917920 252.626760
2025-01-19 4.007073 14.945722 34.835536 67.308233 114.112592 175.195556 257.307867
2025-01-26 3.831388 15.041837 35.823212 70.090866 119.786782 184.907811 272.706966
2025-02-02 3.506694 14.747129 36.119079 71.815339 123.990014 192.712135 285.711367
2025-02-09 2.839998 13.504057 34.686551 70.834671 124.356330 195.447589 292.234084
2025-02-16 2.265537 12.336749 33.284878 69.821004 124.616223 198.002391 298.501087
2025-02-23 1.898705 11.629407 32.656566 69.976028 126.513699 202.720857 307.556151
2025-03-02 1.584267 10.981989 32.085334 70.183824 128.464399 207.502277 316.698401
2025-03-09 1.349914 10.514071 31.818127 70.857179 131.078624 213.176645 327.014569